Lexus ES: future value & depreciation
A Lexus ES (sedan, on sale 2018–2026) sits in the Premium / Luxury depreciation tier. Here is how a typical example bought new at around R 851 500 is projected to hold its value.
- Est. monthly*
- R 14 883
- Value in 3 years
- R 490 430
- Value retained
- 58%
*10% deposit · 72 months · ~11.75% p.a. Estimate only.
| After | Projected value | Value retained |
|---|---|---|
| New | R 851 500 | 100% |
| 1 year | R 655 655 | 77% |
| 2 years | R 557 307 | 65% |
| 3 years | R 490 430 | 58% |
| 4 years | R 441 387 | 52% |
| 5 years | R 401 662 | 47% |
Is the Lexus ES a good buy?
Whether it’s a smart purchase comes down to what you pay, how you finance it, and how well it holds value. In the Premium / Luxury tier, the ES is projected to keep about 58% of its value after three years — the point where many owners look to trade or settle. A bigger deposit and a small (or no) balloon keep you in positive equity sooner. Model your own deal in the equity calculator.
Frequently asked questions
How much will a Lexus ES be worth in 5 years?
Starting from a typical new price of about R 851 500, a Lexus ES is projected to be worth roughly R 401 662 after 5 years — about 47% of its value. This is an estimate based on Lexus's Premium / Luxury depreciation profile and the sedan body type.
Does the Lexus ES hold its value well?
It sits in our "Premium / Luxury" tier. Bakkies and SUVs from strong brands tend to hold value better in South Africa, while EVs and luxury models depreciate faster. Use the calculator to see equity against your own deposit, term and balloon.
How is this future value estimated?
We apply a make-and-body depreciation curve to a representative new price. Real resale prices vary with condition, mileage, spec and the market — treat these as estimates, not a quote.
Estimates only — not financial advice. Figures use representative pricing and generalised depreciation; verify with a registered dealer or finance provider.